What is a Fair Value Gap?
Quick answer
A fair value gap is a three-candle imbalance where the first candle's wick and the third candle's wick do not overlap, leaving an untraded price range behind the middle candle. Price frequently returns to that range to rebalance the inefficiency — most reliably to its 50% midpoint, the consequent encroachment (CE) — before continuing in the direction of the original displacement.
A Fair Value Gap is defined by three consecutive candles where the wick of the first candle and the wick of the third candle do not overlap. The body of the middle candle leaves a visible gap on the chart. That gap is the FVG.
- Bullish FVG (BISI — Buy-side Imbalance, Sell-side Inefficiency): the low of the third candle is above the high of the first candle.
- Bearish FVG (SIBI — Sell-side Imbalance, Buy-side Inefficiency): the high of the third candle is below the low of the first candle.
Bullish vs bearish fair value gap
| Bullish FVG (BISI) | Bearish FVG (SIBI) | |
|---|---|---|
| Candle geometry | Low of candle 3 sits above high of candle 1 | High of candle 3 sits below low of candle 1 |
| What it looks like | A gap you can see between the up-move's wicks | A gap between the down-move's wicks |
| How price returns | Pulls back down into the gap | Rallies up into the gap |
| Entry | Buy limit at the CE (50%) | Sell limit at the CE (50%) |
| Stop | Below the low of the gap | Above the high of the gap |
| Invalidation | A candle closes below the gap low | A candle closes above the gap high |
Fair value gap example on NQ
A typical New York AM example: NQ sweeps the previous day low in the first fifteen minutes, then a single large 1-minute candle displaces upward. Candle 1's high is 20,110, candle 3's low is 20,124 — an untraded 14-point band with a CE at 20,117. Price retraces to 20,117 within the next ten candles, holds, and runs to the previous day high. Entry at the CE, stop under 20,110, target the old high: roughly 1:4 reward-to-risk on a single fair value gap entry.
When price instead trades cleanly through the gap and closes on the other side, that same zone flips into an inverse fair value gap and becomes resistance rather than support. If the move also closed through the order block that created the gap, the reclaimed block becomes a breaker block.
What do fair value gaps indicate?
They mark inefficiency, not direction on their own. An FVG tells you where the order book was skipped, which is where unfilled institutional interest most likely rests. Direction comes from the context around it — market structure, a prior liquidity sweep, and session timing.
The logic: when price moves so fast that it skips a price range, that range was not traded fairly. Smart money tends to return there to fill orders before the move continues. The FVG marks where that return is most likely.
Why FVGs work
The mechanism is liquidity. Large orders cannot fill in a single tick — they need volume on the other side. When price runs away from value, it leaves stranded liquidity behind. The market returns to that level to fill the rest of the institutional book, then resumes direction.
This is why a 50% retracement of an FVG — the CE, or Consequent Encroachment — is the most reliable entry. By that level the imbalance has been mostly rebalanced.
How to trade a Fair Value Gap
- Wait for a clean impulse move on the 1m or 5m NQ chart.
- Mark the FVG: top of the first candle's wick to bottom of the third candle's wick (bullish), or inverse for bearish.
- Wait for price to retrace into the gap. Enter at the CE (50%) line.
- Stop loss beyond the far edge of the FVG.
- Target the next liquidity pool — old high, old low, or session liquidity.
The strongest FVGs form inside an active ICT Killzone — London Open, New York AM, or New York PM. An FVG formed during dead hours is much less reliable.
The first FVG of the session
ICT traders pay special attention to the first presented FVG after a session opens. It often defines the directional bias for that session: if the first FVG is bullish and price respects it, the session leans long. If it's mitigated and broken, bias flips.
NQ Replay highlights this first FVG automatically on every session, with a clear mitigation indicator when price fills it.
Common mistakes
- Trading every FVG. Most are noise. Only trade FVGs aligned with higher-timeframe bias and inside a Killzone.
- Front-running the fill. Wait for price to reach the CE, not the near edge.
- No invalidation. If price closes through the far edge of the FVG, the setup is dead — get out.
How to backtest FVGs
Pattern recognition for FVGs takes hundreds of reps. The fastest way to build that without risking capital is a bar-by-bar replay. Open a historical NQ session in NQ Replay, freeze the chart at a Killzone open, and step forward candle by candle. When an FVG prints, decide if you would have entered before you reveal the next candle. Log the outcome. Twenty sessions in, the pattern reads itself.
Frequently asked questions
What does FVG mean in trading?
FVG stands for Fair Value Gap — a three-candle price pattern where an imbalance leaves a visible gap on the chart. It marks an area price is likely to return to before continuing in its original direction.
How is a Fair Value Gap different from a regular gap?
A regular gap is a session-open price jump. An FVG is an intraday imbalance created by a three-candle structure where the first and third candles' wicks do not overlap. FVGs appear during normal trading, not just at the open.
What is the CE of an FVG?
CE stands for Consequent Encroachment — the 50% midpoint of the Fair Value Gap. It is the most common entry level for ICT traders because the imbalance has been mostly rebalanced by that price.
Are FVGs profitable?
FVGs are not a strategy on their own — they are a precision entry tool. Profitability depends on aligning the FVG with higher-timeframe bias, an ICT Killzone, and clear liquidity targets. Backtesting on historical NQ data is the only way to measure your own edge.
What does a fair value gap look like?
It looks like a visible vertical band of price left behind by one large candle, where the wicks of the candle before it and the candle after it never overlap. On NQ it is usually a 5 to 30 point band inside a fast displacement leg.
How do I identify a fair value gap?
Scan for the fastest candle in a leg, then compare the candle before it and the candle after it. If the third candle's low is above the first candle's high (bullish) or its high is below the first candle's low (bearish), the untouched range between them is the fair value gap. Mark the 50% line as the entry level.
Are fair value gaps real?
The imbalance itself is objective — it is measurable candle geometry, not an opinion. What is debated is how predictive it is. Treated as a location for entries inside a valid structural setup rather than a standalone signal, FVGs test well on NQ; traded blindly, they do not.
What is a bearish fair value gap?
A bearish fair value gap, also called SIBI (sell-side imbalance, buy-side inefficiency), forms when the high of the third candle is below the low of the first candle during a down move. Price often rallies back into it, and traders sell the 50% midpoint with a stop above the gap high.
What is a retracement into an FVG?
It is price returning into the gap after the displacement that created it. A shallow retracement touches the near edge, a standard one reaches the CE at 50%, and a deep one fills the whole gap. Entries at the CE keep the stop tight while still allowing for a normal fill.
Is fair value gap a good strategy?
As a complete strategy, no — as an entry mechanism inside one, yes. The FVG defines where to enter and where the idea is wrong; bias, liquidity targets and session timing supply the edge. Measure it yourself over fifty NQ sessions in replay before trading it live.
Can I practice fair value gaps in NQ Replay?
Yes. Load any historical NQ or MNQ session and FVGs are shaded automatically as you step through the candles. You can place a simulated limit order inside the gap, set a stop beyond the far edge, and see the outcome in the journal — free on the free plan.
Related concepts
- Inverse Fair Value Gap
What an FVG becomes once it's closed through — a flipped reversal level.
- Liquidity Sweep
Why price runs old highs and lows before reversing.
- Turtle Soup
The classic equal-highs / lows liquidity sweep reversal setup.
- SMT Divergence
Correlated-asset disagreement (NQ vs ES) as a reversal filter.
Data & methodology
All NQ and MNQ examples use Databento GLBX.MDP3 1-minute OHLCV candles for continuous front-month E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures, aggregated to higher timeframes (5m, 15m, 1h, 4h) so every bar agrees across timeframes. Sessions run 01:00–16:00 ET. ICT overlays are drawn algorithmically from the same price data used in the replay trainer.