ICT Silver Bullet

The three Silver Bullet windows (ET)

• London Silver Bullet: 03:00 – 04:00 ET
• AM Silver Bullet: 10:00 – 11:00 ET
• PM Silver Bullet: 14:00 – 15:00 ET

The AM Silver Bullet is the most popular — it overlaps the NY cash open's first big push and offers the cleanest FVGs of the day.

The rules

1. Set your daily bias before the window opens — bullish or bearish, based on higher-timeframe structure.
2. Mark draw on liquidity: the next obvious pool of stops in the direction of bias.
3. Inside the hour, wait for a clean Fair Value Gap aligned with bias.
4. Enter at the CE (50%) of the FVG.
5. Stop loss beyond the far edge of the FVG.
6. Target the draw on liquidity. Partial or full target — your call.

Why the Silver Bullet works

The hour bracketing each Killzone's peak is when institutions execute the bulk of their planned flow. Displacement during that window is rarely random — it's typically driven by real order flow, which is why the FVGs hold.

The setup also has built-in discipline: you only take one trade per window, and only if a clean FVG aligned with bias actually prints. Most days that's a single setup — sometimes none. That scarcity is the point.

Common mistakes

• Trading against bias. The Silver Bullet is a bias-aligned setup. A bearish FVG on a bullish day is not the trade.
• Taking the second FVG. The setup is the first clean FVG of the window. After that, edge degrades quickly.
• No draw on liquidity. Without a clear target, you'll exit too early or hold too long. Mark it before the window.

Backtest the Silver Bullet

Open NQ Replay, pick a Killzone session, skip to 10:00 ET, and step bar by bar. Log every clean FVG that formed inside the hour, your decision, and the outcome. After 30 sessions you'll have a real number for your Silver Bullet win rate — which is the only honest way to know if the setup belongs in your playbook.